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Workout Prediction: If 20.2 is a Repeat

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QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Everybody wants to go to heaven, but nobody wants to die.” — Albert King

The 2020 Power Rankings: How The Stats Say The Top 10 Will Play Out

 

Forget leaderboarding, we’ve crunched the numbers to scrap the guessing game and reveal the Power Rankings for the 2020 CrossFit Games Season. 

  • How we got here: You can read our methodology here. But basically, we’ve reviewed athletes past performances (not just 2019) to map out an educated and evidence-based power rankings for the 2019-2020 Games season. 

2020 Top Ten Men 

  1. Matt Fraser 
  2. Björgvin Karl Guðmundsson 
  3. Patrick Vellner 
  4. Noah Ohlsen 
  5. Brent Fikowski 
  6. Travis Mayer
  7. Cole Sager 
  8. Will Moorad 
  9. James Newbury 
  10.  Willy Georges
  • No surprise an unbeaten record secures Matt Fraser top spot on the power rankings list. It also paid off for the champion to cherry pick and take out the most highly contested (and highly paid) sanctioned events in 2019.
  • The big events like Dubai, Wodapalooza and Rogue were a power play and money fueled it. Last season, they proved the sanctioned events to be at – in particular Rogue – with the top male athletes peaking toward the Games. It explains why the 2nd Fittest Man on Earth Noah Ohlsen (8th at Rogue) slipped to 4th in the rankings and the likes of Cole Sager (3rd at Rogue, but failed to make the top 10 at the Games) remains with the “Ones to Watch.”
  • Cuts don’t count you out. Despite failing to make the top ten at the 2019 CrossFit Games, consistency has been key for Patrick Vellner and Brent Fikowski. The new format allowed workout order to have a major influence on where they finished at the 2019 Games, so you can’t discredit their stability and experience at the top, since 2017.
  • An absent Scott Panchik allows Willy George to creep into the Top 10. Panchik’s move to Team Mayhem should also benefit those on the rise like James Newbury and Will Moorad, who both had an impressive 2019 CrossFit Games.

Continue reading…

Workout Prediction: If 20.2 Is a Repeat

 

One week down and no repeat yet. We’re not saying that 20.2 is going to be a repeat, but if it is, here are a few of the best candidates for repeats.

But first, some important facts to know.

  • There has only been one movement repeated in the same year: bar facing burpees in 16.1 and 16.5. So let’s assume no repeated movements for the sake of this exercise.
  • We’re going to assume that the repeated workout will be pulled from the same week it was originally programmed. Every repeat since 2014 has been re-tested the same week it was originally announced, except for in 2018, when 11.6 was voted as the repeat workout. (Ex. 11.1 is 14.1)
  • No WODs from 2013 has ever been repeated; 2011 has had three repeats and 2014 has had two.
  • Thrusters have been in the final week every year. 
  • A WOD from week 3 has NEVER been re-tested.
  • No two-part WOD has ever been repeated. (Ex. 18.2 and 18.2, or 15.1 and 15.2a)

Of all the previous week 2 workouts, the following can be eliminated:

  • 12.2 — We just did ground-to-overhead so we’re probably not doing snatches again.
  • 14.2 — It’s already been repeated once before (15.2).
  • 16.2 — Repeated last year as 19.2.
  • 18.2 and 18.2a — Already did bar facing burpees. Check that one off the list.

We think these three workouts have the best chance of being repeated, if 20.2 is a repeat.

  • 17.2 — Best chance of being repeated.
    • 12 minute AMRAP
      2 Rounds:
      50ft DB walking lunge, 16 TTB, 8 DB power cleans
      then 2 rounds of:
      50ft DB walking lunge
      16 bar MU
      8 DB Cleans
  • 13.2 — Wouldn’t be the craziest idea.
    • 10 minute AMRAP
      5 shoulder to overhead (115/75)
      10 deadlift (115/75)
      15 box jumps (24/20)
  • 11.2 — Won’t catch us in Vegas placing any bets.
    • 15 minute AMRAP
      9 deadlifts (155/100)
      12 push-ups
      15 box jumps (24/20)

Things To…

 

WATCH: Shane Farmer Vs Jacob Heppner Rowing Race
Dark Horse Rowing Shane Farmer and Games athlete Jacob Heppner went head-to-head on the rower. Whoever gets to 100 meters first gets to ask the other one a question, then they move on to 200, all the way up to racing to 500.
THINGS GET SPICY.

 

KNOW: The Art of Sales for Affiliate Owners 
In this episode of Box Talk from Box Pro Magazine, Sherman Merricks shares what he’s come to realize about selling memberships, personal training and more. Listen up to figure out how to build up your sales process and grow your box.
WE COMMAND YOU TO GROW.

 
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EAT: Baked Pumpkin Chocolate Chip Oatmeal Cups
Baked pumpkin oatmeal cups made with your favorite nut butter, cozy spices, oats, pure maple syrup and chocolate chips. These easy pumpkin oatmeal cups have a boost of protein and are are naturally sweetened.
FREEZE THE EXTRAS.

 

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Chalk Up Community

 
  • COMPETITION FOR MOMS — CrossFit Legitimus in Canton, CT is holding their annual Mom’s Competition, Mama Said Knock You Out, on November 16. A friendly competition to celebrate how strong mom’s are, the WODs will be doable for all levels with cash prizes for the top three athletes.
  • 24 HOURS OF HEROES — On November 16 – 17, at the Fanshawe College Gym in London, ON the third year of 24 Hours of Heroes will take place. This is a fundraising event for Wounded Warriors Canada to help raise funds for service dogs from National Service Dogs.

CHALK UP IN 2 MINUTES (a highlight reel around social media of CrossFit pros and average joes)

Corinne Cook back squats 220 pounds for a PR • Justin Woods gets his first bar muscle-upMia Hesketh does 4 power clean + 4 hang power clean at 187 pounds • Congratulations to Lisa on getting her first pull-upDallin Pepper hits a 315 pound power clean PR. 

…and when your shirt looks this great, your snatches will too. 

20.2 Announcement Primer — Week two of the CrossFit Open kicks off tonight at 5:00 PM PT. Here is everything you need to know.

— Here’s how to watch and our expert predictions for who will win tonight’s head-to-head matchups. 

— Keep a close eye on our Open Movement Tracker, which will be updated as soon as the workout is released.

Dave Castro 20.2 clue

— Here’s how many people are doing the 2020 Open.

— What to read while you’re waiting: “What Davidsdottir and Wells Learned While Doing 20.1 Three Times” by Christine Bald. 

CrossFit 20.1 By the Numbers — Heaton Minded posted some remarkable stats on the CrossFit Open 20.1.”

— 36 men and 28 women were able to finish under 9:00

— 318 men and 159 women were able to finish under 10:00

— Two women were able to beat the top male time: Emma McQuaid (7:41) and Samantha Briggs (8:01). 

Tia-Clair Toomey’s three-peat win at the CrossFit Games made Australian Women’s Health’s top 6 biggest moments for women in sport in 2019. 

Rogue Invitational Legends Invites…Chris Spealler, Julie Foucher, and Tanya Wagner.

Reads
CHALK UP READS

“Scott Panchik Signs With inov-8,” by Tommy Marquez, Morning Chalk Up 

It’s been a busy few weeks for Scott Panchik.

Less than a week ago, Panchik took on Rich Froning head-to-head in the Rogue 20.1 announcement where he confirmed rumors that he’ll be joining the CrossFit Mayhem team for the 2020 Games season. Now Panchik is making moves on the sponsorship front, as inov-8 formally announced via press release this morning that Panchik is the newest athlete to join their team.

Panchik technically made the announcement earlier this month through an Instagram post as well, but the formal announcement today seals the deal, as inov-8 signs one of the most accomplished individual athletes in the sport.

Why it matters: Anytime a top-tier athlete in the sport makes changes with regards to sponsorship, the effects are three-fold – for the brand specifically, the athlete, and the broader ecosystem of athletes.

This is the 3rd major athlete to leave Reebok since June, following the departures of both Tia-Clair Toomey, and Katrin Davidsdottir.
Inov-8 expands their athlete stable, and basically guarantees that they’ll have an athlete on the CrossFit Games podium next year – most likely on top of the podium as well – which is great optics-wise.

Panchik becomes a lead athlete of a brand that suddenly has a larger foothold in the space – with footwear restrictions at the Games now gone and the title sponsorship of the Games leaving next season.

Diversity equals opportunity for athletes as more brands like inov-8, NOBULL, and Born Primitive start gaining success and looking to sponsor more athletes.

Reads
CHALK UP CALENDAR

10/18 – 10/20: The Cyprus Throwdown (Island of Cyprus)
10/19: Battle for the Bell VIII: End Bell (Southbury, CT)
10/19: HYROX Miami (Miami, FL)
10/19: Operation Enduring Warrior (Avondale, AZ)
10/26: CrossFit Turbine’s 2019 Strongman Classic (Carol Stream, IL)
10/26: Duo Costume-Palooza 2019 (Denver, CO)
10/26: CrossFit Roots Anniversary Party (Boulder, CO)
10/26: Share the Pain (Nashville, TN)
11/2: Best of the Wurst (New Braunfels, TX)
11/2: Gangs of the Midatlantic Team Competition (Williamsburg , VA)
11/2: Second Annual 12-Hour WODathon (Houston, TX)
11/2: Coed Clash Competition (Oneonta, AL)
11/2 – 11/3: USAW Level 1 Training (Kansas City, MO)
11/8: Veterans Day Bash 2019 (Lubbock, TX)
11/8 – 11/10: The Kalis Games (Manila, Phillipines)
11/9: Patriot Challenge 3.0 (Longview, TX)
11/9: The Garage Games Masters Tour (Rochelle Park, NJ)
11/9: The Battle at Branded One (Las Vegas, NV)
11/9: Battle on the Airfield at Skyraider CrossFit (Riverside, CA)
11/9: The Goat Gauntlet (Hartford, CT)
11/9: The Bay Games (Huskisson, NSW AUS)
11/9: Third Annual Battle on the Airfield (Riverside, CA)
11/9: Sweat For Sweeney (Keene, NH) 
11/9 – 11/10: Fallout 2 Presented by Battleground Events (Long Beach, CA)
11/9: Emerald Coast Honor Games (Destin, FL)
11/16: Warrior Affiliate League Delta Force (City of Industry, CA)
11/16: O-Town Throwdown 2019 (Oconomowoc, WI)
11/16: The Garage Games Masters Tour (Blue Springs, MO)
11/16: The Garage Games Masters Tour (Clemmons, NC)
11/16: The Pain Cave SD (San Diego, CA)
11/16: 2019 Graveyard Games (Kenosha, WI)
11/16: Mid-Atlantic Masters Classic (Abingdon, MD)
11/16: 3rd Annual Bombs & Barbells (Pooler, GA)
11/16: Mama Said Knock You Out (Canton, CT)
11/16 – 11/17: 24 Hours of Heroes (London, ON)
11/17: Annual Ghetto Games (Plainville, MA)
11/17: Crews For Brews (Windsor, Ontario)

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Is there something we missed? Email us at [email protected].
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