After Day Two, Fraser a Mathematical Lock

October 24, 2020 by
Photo courtesy of CrossFit LLC.
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If he wanted to, Mat Fraser could basically sit out day 3 and still make history by becoming the first ever five-time CrossFit Games champion. We know he won’t, but for academic purposes, the thing’s basically a done deal.

The math: Fraser heads into the final day of competition 435 points ahead of Jeff Adler, currently in second. Though we don’t know for sure how many scored events will test the athletes tomorrow, there are three time slots listed on the docket. If Fraser places 5th on all three events, and Adler wins all three, Fraser would still win by 180 points.

  • What about four events? Fraser would win by a minimum of 95 points.
  • And five? Though it’s unlikely there will be five scored events on Sunday — the only time this has happened was in 2016 — Fraser would still win by a minimum of 10 points. That is, if he placed fifth on all five, and Adler took down all five. It’s hard to imagine what the Vegas odds would be on that one.

Here’s an easier way of looking at it:

  1. Mathew Fraser – 875 (current) + 15 + 15 + 15 + 15 + 15 = 950
  2. Jeffrey Adler – 440 (current) + 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 + 100 = 940

One big thing: Though the new scoring system this year, combined with having only five athletes in the field does, perhaps, provide temptation to put an asterisk next these Games, it’s hard to deny Fraser’s dominance: Eight event wins out of nine against the four fittest athletes in the world.

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